Nagoya Grampus 0-4 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.73
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
10%
6.33
X/2
10%
4.93
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.22
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -19%
1.24/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.22
+30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
15.7 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.50 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
09.11.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.02.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-3 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.09.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
06.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
13.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0-4
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.19 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
371 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers cruised past Nagoya Grampus 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Kashima Antlers made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 54% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers?

Nagoya Grampus 0-4 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 35%, draw 28%, Kashima Antlers 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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