Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 27 Sep 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Cerezo Osaka (K)
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.09
No
45%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) v Cerezo Osaka (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.55/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.97
-11% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
15.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
20.10.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-0
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 57% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 43%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.50 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 53%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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