Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
64%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
63%
Away Win
63%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.16/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.48
-77% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +37%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2025 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
29.09.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
02.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
10.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
0-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) edged past Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 38% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 62%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 1.75 for Tokyo Verdy B. (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 15%, draw 21%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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