Alajuelense 2-2 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.83/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.28
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
15.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
12.05.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
28.04.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTK
01.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
2-2
AWAY Puntarenas FC
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense and Puntarenas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Alajuelense carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 57% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 43%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alajuelense and 0.00 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Alajuelense 2-2 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 65%, draw 22%, Puntarenas FC 13%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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