Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.31
-12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
28.04.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
23.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTK
01.03.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
24.11.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
13.09.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY Puntarenas FC
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past Puntarenas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alajuelense had 73% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 27%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alajuelense and 0.17 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Alajuelense 1-0 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 50%, draw 29%, Puntarenas FC 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
15 May 2025
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