Ogre United 1-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

Ogre United
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Smiltene
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Ogre United vs Smiltene Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
78%
1.29
Draw
13%
5.15
Away
9%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
Over
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
13%
2-3
42%
4-5
33%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Ogre United v Smiltene — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ogre United The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene The Market 14%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
3.02 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.98
0.78 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.18
Great Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ogre United vs Smiltene Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ogre United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Smiltene
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
18.05.2025 Smiltene Smiltene 3-1 HT 2-0 Ogre United Ogre United LET1
19.10.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-2 Ogre United Ogre United LET1
29.06.2024 Ogre United Ogre United 2-2 HT 2-2 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
REVIEW Ogre United vs Smiltene
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ogre United came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Smiltene 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ogre United as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (70%) never looked like landing.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ogre United and 1.67 for Smiltene.

Ogre United vs Smiltene Result & Final Score

Ogre United 1 - 0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ogre United vs Smiltene Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ogre United win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 78%, draw 13%, Smiltene 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ogre United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ogre United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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