Mineros de Zacatecas 3-3 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.6
Draw
22%
3.74
Away
19%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.92
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas The Market 62%
Signal
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 22%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.04.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
03.11.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
16.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.11.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-2 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
17.11.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
REVIEW Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mineros de Zacatecas and Tepatitlán de Morelos couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mineros de Zacatecas at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 53% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Mineros de Zacatecas against 1.17 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Result & Final Score

Mineros de Zacatecas 3 - 3 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 59%, draw 22%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 19%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
27 Sep 2025
04:00 Correcaminos UAT vs Venados Analysis →