Trygg/Lade 1-0 Tiller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Sep 2025

Trygg/Lade
1-0 HT 1-0
Tiller
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2025

Trygg/Lade vs Tiller Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.11
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
21%
Over 2.5
79%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.7
No
33%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
85%
-9.3pp
11%
Draw
8%
+2.9pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.4pp
67%
BTTS Yes
55%
+12.7pp
33%
BTTS No
45%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trygg/Lade v Tiller — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiller EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.84/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/3.71
-17% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
498 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2

Trygg/Lade vs Tiller Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Tiller
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.06.2025 Tiller Tiller 1-3 HT 1-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
24.08.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 1-2 HT 0-2 Tiller Tiller NOR4
20.05.2024 Tiller Tiller 0-2 HT 0-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
01.10.2022 Tiller Tiller 1-0 HT 1-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Tiller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade nicked a narrow win over Tiller 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trygg/Lade as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (79%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trygg/Lade and 1.00 for Tiller.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Tiller?

Trygg/Lade 1-0 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Tiller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 76%, draw 11%, Tiller 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trygg/Lade) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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