Santa Clara 1-2 Tondela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.56
Over
45%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.12
No
51%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.34
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.78
6+
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
18%
4.14
X/2
7%
8.53
X/X
13%
3.95
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
11%
7.54
2/X
6%
16.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tondela The Market 24%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.65/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.59
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
18.0 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tondela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
09.12.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-3 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
29.07.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela PRLK
15.10.2022 Tondela Tondela 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
16.01.2022 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-2 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela POR
08.08.2021 Tondela Tondela 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
1-2
AWAY Tondela
2.00 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
294 Passes 253
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 7
REVIEW Santa Clara vs Tondela
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tondela squeezed past Santa Clara 2-1 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 51% lean on Santa Clara didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Santa Clara's favour, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.00 to 1.53 — by the quality of chances, Santa Clara deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Santa Clara against 1.50 for Tondela.

Santa Clara vs Tondela Result & Final Score

Santa Clara 1-2 Tondela in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Santa Clara vs Tondela Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 51%, draw 26%, Tondela 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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