Estrela 3-0 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

Estrela
3-0 HT 3-0
AVS
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.62
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.52
2-3
36%
1.74
4-5
22%
4.35
6+
11%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
14%
6.64
X/X
14%
4.03
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
13%
5.23
2/X
7%
14.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS The Market 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.23/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.20
+16% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +65%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.7 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AVS
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.35
44% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
186 Passes 249
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Estrela Estrela 0-1 HT 0-0 AVS AVS POR
28.12.2024 AVS AVS 1-1 HT 0-1 Estrela Estrela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela
3-0
AWAY AVS
2.58 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
369 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Estrela vs AVS
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Estrela overpowered AVS 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estrela as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.62, roughly 62%.

By the numbers, possession split 55% to 45% in Estrela's favour, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.58 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AVS led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Estrela against 1.00 for AVS.

Estrela vs AVS Result & Final Score

Estrela 3-0 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estrela vs AVS Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estrela 42%, draw 26%, AVS 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estrela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estrela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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