Estoril 0-1 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

Estoril
0-1 HT 0-1
Sporting CP
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Estoril vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.28
Away Pick
73%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.51
Over
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
21%
5.24
2-3
39%
1.98
4-5
28%
2.59
6+
12%
6.17
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.24 — our 21% vs market 13.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
17.5
1/2
13%
21.05
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
4%
20.8
X/2
21%
3.83
X/X
4%
8.76
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
39%
1.42
2/X
6%
22.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Estoril v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP The Market 79%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.72/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.67
-28% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
249 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
10.2 Crosses 20.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Estoril vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.49 xG 2.39
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
291 Passes 453
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2025 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3-1 HT 2-0 Estoril Estoril POR
27.09.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
11.05.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
05.01.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-1 HT 2-0 Estoril Estoril POR
27.02.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Estoril Estoril POR
02.09.2022 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR

Estoril 0-1 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
0-1
AWAY Sporting CP
0.23 xG 1.12
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
283 Passes 523
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Estoril vs Sporting CP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sporting CP squeezed past Estoril 1-0 on their travels.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.23 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Estoril against 2.67 for Sporting CP.

Estoril vs Sporting CP Result & Final Score

Estoril 0-1 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estoril vs Sporting CP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Estoril 11%, draw 16%, Sporting CP 73%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
27 Sep 2025
17:30 Moreirense vs Casa Pia Analysis →
18:30 Santa Clara vs Tondela Analysis →
20:00 Estrela vs AVS Analysis →