Vejle 2-0 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 27 Oct 2024

Vejle
2-0 HT 0-0
Lyngby
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.86
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.79
X/2
17%
5.51
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
18%
3.59
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.16/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.71
+15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.9 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lyngby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
290 Passes 309
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 1-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
15.05.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
26.04.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
12.11.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
22.09.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
24.05.2021 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
2-0
AWAY Lyngby
3.44 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
323 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle saw off Lyngby 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lyngby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vejle had 48% of the ball to Lyngby's 52%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.44 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vejle had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vejle and 0.83 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Lyngby?

Vejle 2-0 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vejle 30%, draw 28%, Lyngby 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lyngby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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