Estrela vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Estrela 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Estrela and Vitoria Guimaraes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estrela had 39% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 61%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.38 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Estrela and 2.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Estrela 2-2 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estrela 32%, draw 22%, Vitoria Guimaraes 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.