Benfica 5-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.39
2-3 Goals
39%
2.11
4-5 Goals
30%
2.52
6+ Goals
14%
5.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.25
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
13%
3.42
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
7%
11.65
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
4%
28.5
2/X
4%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
81%
-10.8pp
17%
Draw
13%
+4.7pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
2.85/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.49
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
485 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
37.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
23.2 Crosses 10.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rio Ave
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.22 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
485 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
14.01.2024 Benfica Benfica 4-1 HT 1-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
02.04.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-1 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
08.10.2022 Benfica Benfica 4-2 HT 3-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
01.03.2021 Benfica Benfica 2-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
18.10.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-3 HT 0-2 Benfica Benfica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
5-0
AWAY Rio Ave
2.38 xG 0.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
29 Total Shots 4
14 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
459 Passes 260
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
64 Box Touches 2
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica cruised past Rio Ave 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Benfica had 62% of the ball to Rio Ave's 38%, shots finished 29-4, expected goals 2.38 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Benfica and 0.67 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Rio Ave?

Benfica 5-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Benfica 70%, draw 17%, Rio Ave 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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