Malmö FF 1-3 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 Oct 2025

Malmö FF
1-3 HT 0-3
Hammarby
📅27/10/2025 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Malmö FF vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.02
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
20%
5.05
X/2
10%
6.81
X/X
13%
4.79
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
12%
4.79
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 33%
-13% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +23%
1.58/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.40
-36% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.1 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Malmö FF vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
02.11.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.09.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
30.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-2 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
01.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ

Malmö FF 1-3 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-3
AWAY Hammarby
1.08 xG 1.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 511
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Malmö FF 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 40% of the ball to Hammarby's 60%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.08 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Malmö FF and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Hammarby?

Malmö FF 1-3 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 45%, draw 26%, Hammarby 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ BTTS Yes
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