San Diego 2-1 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.01
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
10%
10.45
X/X
7%
6.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.5
2/2
7%
7.53
2/X
5%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.5 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
59%
+1.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 23%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.77/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.69
-28% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.6 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Diego
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.00 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
623 Passes 268
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-4 HT 0-1 San Diego ABD
24.08.2025 San Diego 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
2-1
AWAY Portland Timbers
2.74 xG 1.57
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
779 Passes 274
93% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego squeezed past Portland Timbers 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Diego had 71% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 29%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.74 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Diego had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Diego and 0.00 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Portland Timbers?

San Diego 2-1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split San Diego 60%, draw 18%, Portland Timbers 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
27 Oct 2025
00:30 Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas Analysis →