Portland Timbers 0-4 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
13%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.93
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.49
X/2
15%
5.66
X/X
14%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.18
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.2pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.37/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.25
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.2 Crosses 11.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY San Diego
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.14 xG 1.02
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 535
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 San Diego 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
0-4
AWAY San Diego
0.73 xG 2.98
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 711
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
16 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego swept aside Portland Timbers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 29% of the ball to San Diego's 71%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.73 to 2.98.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs San Diego?

Portland Timbers 0-4 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 32%, draw 25%, San Diego 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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