Columbus Crew 3-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.0
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
17%
4.3
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
8%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.2
2/2
11%
7.89
2/X
6%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.2 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -23%
1.76/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.55
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.2 Crosses 15.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
3W-2D-1L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.14
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
537 Passes 243
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.11.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.10.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
17.03.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
02.07.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.91 xG 0.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
474 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew got the better of New York Red Bulls 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 58% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 42%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.91 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.00 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Columbus Crew 3-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 55%, draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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