Atlanta United 1-1 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
8%
9.07
X/X
7%
6.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.4
2/2
10%
6.14
2/X
12%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 11% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.77/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.64
+5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.2 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY DC United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
400 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 DC United DC United 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
27.07.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-3 HT 2-3 DC United DC United CONLK
20.06.2024 DC United DC United 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
12.05.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-2 DC United DC United ABD
21.09.2023 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
11.06.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-1 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
1-1
AWAY DC United
1.03 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
373 Passes 344
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Atlanta United had 51% of the ball to DC United's 49%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.03 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atlanta United and 1.33 for DC United.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs DC United?

Atlanta United 1-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 51%, draw 26%, DC United 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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