New York City FC 1-2 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.48
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
10%
4.78
X/2
10%
8.21
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.71
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.86/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.7 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.03 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders CON
07.04.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-1 HT 2-1 New York City FC New York City FC Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
04.07.2019 New York City FC New York City FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
30.07.2018 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-1 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
17.06.2017 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
26.06.2016 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-2 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
1-2
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.67 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
413 Passes 435
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders edged past New York City FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, New York City FC had 50% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 50%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.67 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for New York City FC and 1.33 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders?

New York City FC 1-2 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 48%, draw 23%, Seattle Sounders 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York City FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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