Charlotte 2-0 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.34
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
13%
5.79
X/2
12%
6.28
X/X
10%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.55
2/2
18%
3.79
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.42/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.23
-5% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.5 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
357 Passes 296
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
28.07.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte CONLK
23.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
01.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-0
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.17 xG 1.96
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
290 Passes 447
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte saw off Philadelphia Union 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Charlotte made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte had 41% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 59%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 1.17 to 1.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Philadelphia Union.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Charlotte and 1.00 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Charlotte 2-0 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 39%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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