Philadelphia Union 2-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.79/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.71
-1% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.5 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
292 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte CONLK
23.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
01.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
02.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 4-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
2-1
AWAY Charlotte
1.19 xG 0.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
304 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union edged past Charlotte 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 48% of the ball to Charlotte's 52%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Philadelphia Union 2-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 44%, draw 26%, Charlotte 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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