Austin vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Austin
ABD
3-4
HT 1-2
New York Red Bulls
ABD
Austin 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Austin squeezed past New York Red Bulls 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Austin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Austin had 46% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 54%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 1.25 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Austin and 2.50 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Austin vs New York Red Bulls?
Austin 2-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austin 38%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.