Columbus Crew 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.9
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.13
X/2
12%
7.08
X/X
16%
5.33
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.78/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.10
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.9 Crosses 18.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.85 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
437 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
22.09.2019 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
31.03.2018 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
17.09.2017 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
11.09.2016 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-3 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
09.04.2015 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
2-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.22 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
550 Passes 328
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 11
6 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew squeezed past Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 61% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 39%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.22 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.67 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Columbus Crew 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 39%, draw 28%, Vancouver Whitecaps 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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