New England Revolution 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.55
-24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
18.0 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
351 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
23.06.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 0-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
17.03.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
02.07.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-2 HT 1-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
30.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
04.07.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
0-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.39 xG 1.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
478 Passes 231
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day FC Cincinnati made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 65% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 35%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.39 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New England Revolution and 1.50 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?

New England Revolution 0-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 40%, draw 29%, FC Cincinnati 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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