FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
New England Revolution
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
2-3
HT 1-2
New England Revolution
ABD
FC Cincinnati 1-0 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati nicked a narrow win over New England Revolution 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 54% of the ball to New England Revolution's 46%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.17 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Cincinnati's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.83 for New England Revolution.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
FC Cincinnati 1-0 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 49%, draw 26%, New England Revolution 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.