Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Kansas City v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
St. Louis City
ABD
1-4
HT 1-3
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
4-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
Sporting Kansas City 2-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City saw off St. Louis City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Kansas City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 52% of the ball to St. Louis City's 48%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.41 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 2.17 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
Sporting Kansas City 2-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 44%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.