New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
3-3
HT 1-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 2-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past Chicago Fire 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 44% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 56%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.35 to 1.86 — on chances, Chicago Fire could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.33 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
New York Red Bulls 2-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 43%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.