New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York Red Bulls 2-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past Chicago Fire 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Chicago Fire saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.35 to 1.86 — on chances, Chicago Fire could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for New York Red Bulls against 1.33 for Chicago Fire.
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Result & Final Score
New York Red Bulls 2 - 1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 50%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.