Philadelphia Union 0-0 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Apr 2025

Philadelphia Union
0-0 HT 0-0
Orlando City
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.09
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
17%
5.43
X/2
13%
6.94
X/X
9%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.2
2/2
11%
4.54
2/X
10%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +25%
1.78/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.38
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.0 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.23 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 2-4 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
03.10.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
12.05.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-3 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
22.06.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 2-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
26.03.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
11.09.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 5-1 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD

Philadelphia Union 0-0 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-0
AWAY Orlando City
1.49 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
388 Passes 202
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and Orlando City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 63% of the ball to Orlando City's 37%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.49 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Philadelphia Union and 2.00 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

Philadelphia Union 0-0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 44%, draw 26%, Orlando City 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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