Austin 0-0 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.39
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.61
X/2
11%
8.7
X/X
14%
5.45
2/1
8%
22.0
2/2
13%
6.36
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.79/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.75
+12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.7 Crosses 14.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portland Timbers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.42 xG 1.61
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
404 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
03.10.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 0-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
30.05.2024 Austin Austin 0-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
18.09.2023 Austin Austin 1-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
07.05.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
01.09.2022 Austin Austin 1-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
0-0
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.10 xG 0.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 456
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austin vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin and Portland Timbers played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Austin at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Austin had 44% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 56%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.10 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Austin and 1.50 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Austin vs Portland Timbers?

Austin 0-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Austin 44%, draw 27%, Portland Timbers 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Austin)
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