Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portland Timbers v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portland Timbers 0-1 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Austin came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Portland Timbers 1-0 on their travels.
File this under upsets: a 65% lean on Portland Timbers went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (63%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Portland Timbers had 59% of the ball to Austin's 41%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.45 to 0.38 — on chances, Portland Timbers could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Portland Timbers and 0.67 for Austin.
Portland Timbers vs Austin Result & Final Score
Portland Timbers 0 - 1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 65%, draw 18%, Austin 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.