Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portland Timbers v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers found just enough to beat Austin 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Portland Timbers made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, possession split 54% to 46% in Portland Timbers's favour, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.59 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Portland Timbers against 0.83 for Austin.
Portland Timbers vs Austin Result & Final Score
Portland Timbers 1 - 0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 36%, draw 27%, Austin 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.