Portland Timbers vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Austin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Portland Timbers
ABD
2-2
HT 1-0
Austin
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
Portland Timbers
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Austin
ABD
Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers edged past Austin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Portland Timbers had 54% of the ball to Austin's 46%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.59 to 0.75.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portland Timbers and 0.83 for Austin.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Austin?
Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin in the USA - Major League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 43%, draw 25%, Austin 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.