Atlanta United 1-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Apr 2025

Atlanta United
1-1 HT 1-0
FC Dallas
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Atlanta United vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
35%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
8%
4.57
X/2
14%
9.81
X/X
8%
6.14
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
13%
6.96
2/X
9%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
21%
+14.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlanta United v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.84/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.50
+18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.2 Crosses 12.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Atlanta United vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
2.09 xG 1.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
431 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-2 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
24.09.2020 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
20.04.2019 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
05.07.2018 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-2 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
10.09.2017 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD

Atlanta United 1-1 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
1-1
AWAY FC Dallas
1.66 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
431 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and FC Dallas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Atlanta United had 58% of the ball to FC Dallas's 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.66 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Atlanta United and 1.40 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs FC Dallas?

Atlanta United 1-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 42%, draw 23%, FC Dallas 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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