Columbus Crew 2-1 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.95
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
18%
4.15
X/2
9%
11.35
X/X
13%
6.0
2/1
10%
21.55
2/2
7%
9.02
2/X
7%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.71/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.76
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.2 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CF Montreal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.85 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
457 Passes 354
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-3 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
28.04.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.10.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
03.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-4 HT 0-3 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
10.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.08.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
2-1
AWAY CF Montreal
1.56 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
468 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew squeezed past CF Montreal 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 56% of the ball to CF Montreal's 44%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.56 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.33 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

Columbus Crew 2-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 51%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ BTTS No
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