Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
3-3
HT 1-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-2
HT 1-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
Chicago Fire
ABD
Chicago Fire 2-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire squeezed past New York Red Bulls 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Chicago Fire found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 48% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.11 to 1.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.00 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
Chicago Fire 2-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 31%, New York Red Bulls 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.