Sporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

Sporting Kansas City
1-1 HT 0-1
St. Louis City
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.6
2-3 Goals
34%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.58
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
10%
7.48
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
13%
4.95
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.54/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.56
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
20.0 Crosses 19.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Kansas City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Louis City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.47 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-3 HT 1-2 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
06.11.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
30.10.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 1-4 HT 1-3 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
01.10.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 4-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
03.09.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 2-1 HT 2-1 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
21.05.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 4-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Sporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
1-1
AWAY St. Louis City
2.19 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
393 Passes 214
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Kansas City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 62% of the ball to St. Louis City's 38%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.19 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Kansas City and 2.33 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

Sporting Kansas City 1-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 42%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
21 Jul 2024
02:30 Orlando City vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs FC Dallas Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →