St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
St. Louis City
ABD
1-4
HT 1-3
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
4-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
2-1
HT 2-1
St. Louis City
ABD
St. Louis City 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City got the better of Sporting Kansas City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Louis City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, St. Louis City had 47% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 53%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.26 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Louis City and 2.17 for Sporting Kansas City.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
St. Louis City 3-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Sporting Kansas City?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 46%, draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.