FC Cincinnati 3-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.84
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
15%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.92
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
11%
7.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.45
2/2
12%
7.62
2/X
5%
15.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.45 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.5pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +22%
1.69/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.58
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
15.1 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CF Montreal
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 374
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
01.09.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 4-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.04.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
21.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
18.05.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
29.05.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-3 HT 2-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
3-0
AWAY CF Montreal
2.17 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
315 Passes 348
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati cruised past CF Montreal 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 46% of the ball to CF Montreal's 54%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.17 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.50 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

FC Cincinnati 3-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 53%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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