Nashville SC 2-5 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.91
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.45
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
16%
6.27
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
8%
6.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.7
2/2
17%
3.41
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 13% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.54/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.56
+6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.4 Crosses 12.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 505
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
30.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
21.04.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
14.03.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 2-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC CON
08.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami CON
31.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-5
AWAY Inter Miami
2.98 xG 3.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
367 Passes 574
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
29 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami ran out comfortable winners over Nashville SC 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nashville SC had 40% of the ball to Inter Miami's 60%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.98 to 3.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nashville SC and 2.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Nashville SC 2-5 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 44%, draw 21%, Inter Miami 35%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nashville SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
19 Oct 2025
01:00 Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
01:00 New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →
01:00 FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Analysis →
01:00 Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
01:00 Toronto FC vs Orlando City Analysis →
01:00 Atlanta United vs DC United Analysis →