Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 57% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 43%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.50 to 1.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 51%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.