Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.74
2-3 Goals
40%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.68
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
4.16
X/2
5%
13.85
X/X
7%
7.83
2/1
8%
18.65
2/2
8%
10.2
2/X
6%
18.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.2pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
2.15/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.72
+3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
455 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.2 Crosses 12.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 382
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.03.2025 FC Dallas FC Dallas 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
08.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.03.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-3 HT 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
18.05.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
12.03.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3-0
AWAY FC Dallas
3.60 xG 0.38
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 1
10 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
564 Passes 273
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
49 Box Touches 2
20 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps ran out comfortable winners over FC Dallas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 64% of the ball to FC Dallas's 36%, shots finished 22-1, expected goals 3.60 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.00 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas?

Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 66%, draw 17%, FC Dallas 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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