Melgar 2-0 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Oct 2025

Melgar
2-0 HT 1-0
Sport Huancayo
📅27/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Melgar vs Sport Huancayo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
65%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melgar v Sport Huancayo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.57
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.7 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Melgar vs Sport Huancayo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
318 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.06.2025 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-2 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
27.10.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-4 HT 1-2 Melgar Melgar PER
19.05.2024 Melgar Melgar 4-1 HT 2-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
27.08.2023 Melgar Melgar 1-3 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
09.04.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-1 HT 1-0 Melgar Melgar PER
24.07.2022 Melgar Melgar 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER

Melgar 2-0 Sport Huancayo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
2-0
AWAY Sport Huancayo
0.87 xG 1.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
523 Passes 192
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melgar beat Sport Huancayo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Melgar had 69% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 31%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.87 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Melgar and 1.50 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?

Melgar 2-0 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Melgar 66%, draw 19%, Sport Huancayo 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melgar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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