Samsunspor 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.53
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
8%
8.22
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
14%
24.0
2/2
14%
6.19
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.33/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.49
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.0 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-3 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.09.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
23.02.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
08.10.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.03.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
11.09.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-1
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.98 xG 1.05
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
392 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor and Çaykur Rizespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 55% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 45%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 2.98 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samsunspor and 0.83 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Samsunspor 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 45%, draw 28%, Çaykur Rizespor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samsunspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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