CS Sfaxien 0-1 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
43%
2.26
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 43% vs market 37.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.0pp
37%
Draw
33%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.0pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
0.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
0-1
AWAY CS Constantine
0.33 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
459 Passes 327
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 8
23 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Constantine edged past CS Sfaxien 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 37% / 27%) promised a tight game; CS Constantine found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 57% of the ball to CS Constantine's 43%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.33 to 0.42.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs CS Constantine?

CS Sfaxien 0-1 CS Constantine in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 36%, draw 37%, CS Constantine 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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