USM Alger 6-0 Orapa Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
3.49
No
52%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.5pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.1pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
24%
+23.6pp
52%
BTTS No
76%
-23.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Orapa Utd EU Bookmakers 8%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+2% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 69%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
6-0
AWAY Orapa Utd
4.54 xG 0.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 0
11 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
510 Passes 187
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
40 Box Touches 1
24 Crosses 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Orapa Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger cruised past Orapa Utd 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, USM Alger had 70% of the ball to Orapa Utd's 30%, shots finished 27-0, expected goals 4.54 to 0.00.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Orapa Utd?

USM Alger 6-0 Orapa Utd in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Orapa Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 64%, draw 20%, Orapa Utd 16%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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