Simba 1-0 Onze Bravos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Nov 2024

Simba
1-0 HT 1-0
Onze Bravos
📅27/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2024/2025

Simba vs Onze Bravos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
11%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
7%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.1pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Simba v Onze Bravos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Onze Bravos EU Bookmakers 12%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+64% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.0 Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Simba 1-0 Onze Bravos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Simba
1-0
AWAY Onze Bravos
2.01 xG 1.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
333 Passes 229
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Simba vs Onze Bravos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba squeezed past Onze Bravos 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Simba as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Simba had 54% of the ball to Onze Bravos's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.01 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Simba vs Onze Bravos?

Simba 1-0 Onze Bravos in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Onze Bravos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Simba 67%, draw 22%, Onze Bravos 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Simba), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Simba) ✓ BTTS No
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