Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Stellenbosch FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 39%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Malien Bamako
2-0
AWAY Stellenbosch FC
2.03 xG 0.41
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
152 Passes 392
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stade Malien Bamako vs Stellenbosch FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Malien Bamako got the better of Stellenbosch FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stade Malien Bamako as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Malien Bamako had 34% of the ball to Stellenbosch FC's 66%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 2.03 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Stade Malien Bamako vs Stellenbosch FC?

Stade Malien Bamako 2-0 Stellenbosch FC in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Malien Bamako vs Stellenbosch FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Malien Bamako win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stade Malien Bamako 41%, draw 26%, Stellenbosch FC 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Malien Bamako) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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