Saburtalo 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.63
Over 2.5
52%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.18/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.27
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +77%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-6 HT 2-2 Saburtalo GUR
23.05.2024 Saburtalo 0-2 HT 0-2 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti GUR
06.04.2024 Kolkheti 1913 Poti Kolkheti 1913 Poti 1-2 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-1
AWAY Kolkheti 1913 Poti
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo and Kolkheti 1913 Poti couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Saburtalo at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 50% of the ball to Kolkheti 1913 Poti's 50%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Saburtalo and 1.67 for Kolkheti 1913 Poti.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Saburtalo 1-1 Kolkheti 1913 Poti in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Kolkheti 1913 Poti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 64%, draw 20%, Kolkheti 1913 Poti 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
27 Nov 2024
13:00 Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi Analysis →
13:00 Samtredia vs Dila Gori Analysis →
18:00 Telavi vs Samgurali Analysis →
19:00 Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra Analysis →