Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.77/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.95
-9% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gagra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-3 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
24.05.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
07.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
29.10.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
20.08.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-1 HT 2-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
10.05.2023 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-0
AWAY Gagra
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi beat Gagra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 45% of the ball to Gagra's 55%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.50 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-0 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 54%, draw 23%, Gagra 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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