Samtredia 0-1 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 27 Nov 2024

📅27/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 58%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.44/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.90
+33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dila Gori
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-2 HT 2-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
23.05.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
07.04.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 2-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
10.11.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
02.09.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-3 HT 0-2 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
20.05.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-2 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
0-1
AWAY Dila Gori
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori edged past Samtredia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Samtredia had 54% of the ball to Dila Gori's 46%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samtredia and 1.83 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Dila Gori?

Samtredia 0-1 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 27/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 23%, draw 30%, Dila Gori 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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